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The Institute for the Future (IFTF) is an independent, nonprofit research group with over 40 years of forecasting experience. The core of our work is identifying emerging trends and discontinuities that will transform global society and the global marketplace. We provide insights into business strategy, design process, innovation, and social dilemmas. Our research generates the foresight needed to create insights that lead to action. Our research spans a broad territory of deeply transformative trends, from health and health care to technology, the workplace, and human identity. The Institute for the Future is located in Palo Alto, CA.
This signal is based on a hypothesis created on ScienceX2.org and is being re-entered as a new signal on Signtific.
Based on a signal by Max MarmerChinese government refusing to allow edge.org book to be published, Implications for China's Intellectual FutureChinese government refusing to allow edge.org book What Is Your Dangerous Idea?: Today's Leading Thinkers on the Unthinkable, because "some content is not accordant to Chinese regulations, for example, some content about religious, soul."Steven Pinker one of the 109 Authors of the Q&A book responds poignantly, "There is a profound issue lurking here. Everyone says that China will be the next scientific and economic power. Is this compatible with their ongoing rejection of open debate and exploration of ideas? Is a technologically advanced society compatible with anti-intellectualism and suppression of debate? It's hard to see how China will ever compete with the West as a source of scientific and technological innovation if ideas cannot be discussed and evaluated. Or will the Internet — which can never be completely censored — and a stream of PhDs returning from the West eventually pressure them to open up?"--Hypothesis of ImpactTime scale: In the next 3 yearsI am skeptical about China's ability, as many project, to become the world's next great super power.Their government is unstable and corrupt. They have virtually no regulations and the environmental conditions in china are abysmal and getting worse. Further, I agree with Steven Pinker, in that I do not see how China can surpass the Western world in intellectual discoveries in capital in such a closed and restrictive society.Quantity over quality will not win in the 21st century especially because of the increased importance of creativity and the diminishing importance of manual labor.
This signal is based on a hypothesis created on ScienceX2.org and is being re-entered as a new signal on Signtific.